A Perfect Symmetry?

With rates rising amid the glorious faith that recovery is upon us, tapering is a storm in a teacup, and nothing can stop us now, we present the dreadful symmetry of the US leverage situation (Federal Debt-to-GDP) relative to rates. We suggest investors be careful what they wish for on ‘rotational’ fantasies as GDP growth won’t save us this time and the deleveraging effect of any serious retrenchment in debt will feedback into the ‘credit-is-growth’ drain-circling that has been evident for the last 30 years… So, if we do indeed have perfect historic symmetry, what will be the ‘event’ that takes total US debt from well over 100% of GDP to less than half of that?

 

 

(h/t @Not_Jim_Cramer)

    

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